| Informal
Session with Prof. Edward Luck on
“Prospects and Challenges of UN Multilateralism”
New York, August 8, 2003
On August 8, 2003 the Permanent Mission of Indonesia to the UN hosted
an informal session with Prof. Edward Luck on “Prospects and Challenges
of UN Multilateralism.” Prof. Luck is an expert on US-UN relations
and UN affairs. Currently he is the Director of the Center on International
Organization at Columbia University. During the presentation Dr. Luck
presented his views on UN multilateralism, looking specifically at American
exceptionalism and the reform agenda of the UN. The summary of his presentation
is as follows:
American Exceptionalism
There is recognition
that the US is both exceptional and ambivalent.
Four characteristics
make the US exceptional with respect to the UN:
1. A willingness to go it alone and a feeling of being immune to criticism.
2. An assumption that its national values are universal and that its policies
are expedient, moral, proper and just.
3. Inward looking sources of legitimacy.
4. Multilateralism seen as an option, not an obligation, and one of many
alternatives.
Within the context
of UN history, other countries can be viewed as exceptional: the USSR,
France and China.
There are several
sources of US ambivalence:
1. History, geography,
political culture.
a. History –
The US has a sense that as a nation, it differs from the powers in Europe.
The US arose from those who fled the European systems and from 1776 onward,
have maintained different internal as well as external relations.
b. Geography – It has kept itself apart from others in terms of
security but has embraced others things such as globalization.
c. Political culture – The US has maintained a skepticism regarding
the role of government and has tended to perceive government as intrusive.
There is a general trust of local authorities but less with state governments
and even less with those at the federal levels. Hence, the UN is not attractive
specifically because it supercedes these bodies as a global government
entity. Americans perceive themselves to be distant from the UN.
2. Dominant political framework: Federalism. This paradigm leads to a
different understanding of government.
a. American ambivalence
to global institutions – Americans generally think well of the UN
but have an idealized support of it. The American population is a polarized
body politic with about 20% opposed to global institutions.
b. Politicized issues: generally, Democrats are in favor of global bodies
whereas Republicans are opposed to them. In Congress, these issues become
very divisive.
c. Geopolitical and strategic – is the US too big to fit in the
world? Trying to balance international power relations in government bodies
is difficult because these power arrangements are asymmetrical and imbalanced.
The US is focused on results and not process. Americans find it difficult
to identify with UN declarations.
The US is not fundamentally
opposed to international institutions and their support varies by issue.
Overall, Republicans have tended to support multilateral economic and
trade issues (WTO, NAFTA) more than Democrats. However, the US has a very
idealistic perception of what multilateralism is and has often been let
down by it.
Public opinion polls
demonstrate that US citizens do not support the UN. A Washington Post/ABC
poll taken before the war in Iraq showed a 75% disapproval rating against
the UN and a Gallup poll showed 58% versus 37% of Americans saying the
UN was not doing a good job. The subsequent war in Iraq further damaged
the UN’s importance in the eyes of Americans with 60% of them in
May 2003 (as opposed to 32% in March 2003) saying the UN had become less
important. Additionally, the 43% in 2003 agreed that the UN was a good
influence on the US as opposed to 72% in 2002.
Outside the US, public
opinion of the UN has also deteriorated. In Europe, there has been an
increase of people agreeing that the UN has become less important. In
developing countries, the decreasing importance of the UN has become even
larger. Fewer believe that the UN has a good influence on their country
in 2003 than in 2002.
Reform Agenda
at the UN
According to Kofi
Annan, the UN may be in need of radical reform. Issues such as the realignment
of ECOSOC and the Security Council need to be addressed as well as the
need for voices to be heard and a reiteration of the importance of the
UN. Furthermore, other issues must also be addressed. Is there a need
for pre-emptive action? With an emphasis on prevention, who decides? These
general issues must be discussed in the GA.
In terms of reform,
there are several current problems. Although the need for reform is great,
the bad political climate hinders the actual ability to achieve reform.
There is an imbalance of power with respect to inside debate and outside
implementation. Most countries want reform but they want it less reflective
of outside power dynamics. This may sound attractive but in actuality,
is not conducive to radical reform.
The decision making
process is also problematic at the UN. Security issues and terrorism,
while important, are uncomfortably managed at the UN. It is difficult
for the US to envision how that UN fits into the broad efforts of these
issues. The CTC may be running out of steam and the Secretariat is not
organized to deal with terror.
The proliferation
of weapons of mass destruction is also an issue that has split member
states. The role of the Security Council with respect to violations to
the NPT etc. remains in question and it is unclear what the Council does.
Is the Security Council focused on local crises? Or is it responsible
for international peace and security across the board? Will the Security
Council become marginalized, dealing with only certain issues? US dominance
has led to the dominance of Security Council issues.
Questions
& Answers
Q1:
US attitudes towards the UN can be seen as cynicism. For example, in Somalia,
the US blamed the UN for failures there. In Rwanda, the US stance on the
use of the word “genocide” in terms of the atrocities on the
ground led to no action in the country. How much of this is naivety on
the part of the US?
A1:
The US acts in the UN with both cynicism and idealism in its use of international
institutions. Why did Bush make that speech at the UNSC? Why are Americans
still supportive of the war? All polls show about 70% support since the
beginning to get rid of Saddam and not WMDs. It was not until Bush went
to the UN that WMDs came into it. The whole US notion was about regime
change. Did Bush go to the UN `through cynicism or idealism? Bush probably
thought the case would be very convincing and would get support. He was
over confident. The US often looks cynical but sees the UN as where states
go to do business. There is a notion that common ground can be found.
In pragmatic terms, the US pays less attention to process. The US is trying
to do the same thing as other states and is not more cynical than others.
In Somalia, we had no interests there. We went in and thought it would
be fast. The US pinned the blame on the UN. As for Rwanda, both the Security
Council and the US were reluctant to do anything.
Q2: Two part question:
1. We have exhausted
what we can do on substantive reform. The UN has to reflect political
realities. The world is not democratic but what is right? To have reform
exercises to show the world we are doing something but remain stuck in
a stalemate? There is a lot of talk but little is ever done.
2. Given the political reality, is there hope for the UN? Do we need to
wait for a new administration?
A2: Reform is a process, not an event. It must be ongoing. Reform at the
UN is seen as punishment but even the best of institutions need reform.
We need to look at it as adaptation since priorities change. Reform can
happen.
Q3:
The UN is a brainchild of the US and promotes US values (such as democracy).
There is a need for reform to make it more efficient. If:
1. The big states
are leaders, what does it mean for overcoming the challenges facing the
UN?
2. At the UNGA, how can we bring back multilateralism?
A3:
There are probably people in the US administration that would probably
want to weaken the UN but they are probably not a majority. They should
not look at the Uzn as a way to constrain the US however, opposition to
the war made this viewpoint prevalent in the US. It feeds the US view
that we are difference and that the UN is not for us. Seeing the US as
a problem is a self-fulfilling prophecy. Loose caricaturing of this administration
gets away from solid analysis.
Q4: There are several
parts to this question.
1. The US seems to
be willing to go it alone. The cost of unilateralism is high. Iraq will
cost over $100 billion and more than $1000 per household. Does the US
realize this? What’s the impact on the White House?
2. The issues of developing countries seem to have been missed. If Cancún
fails, there will be an increase in unilateralism and bilateralism and
more protectionism. What is the cost of the failure of Cancún?
3. The US appears distant from the Millenium Goals. How can the separation
of power in the US support the long term commitment to the MDGs? Is there
hope?
A4: Universally broad
international cooperation is mandatory. There is strong recognition of
burden sharing. The political pattern in the US is that the US cares more
about partners than international organizations and results over ideas.
The idea of partnership matters.
The public is becoming
more aware of the costs and Congress is giving Paul Wolfowitz trouble.
The administration says its cheap and easy but it’s not looking
at the past. Bush’s inexperience has resulted in not pushing people
to get the numbers. He has failed to remember that we are not good policers
and we are not imperialists. There was no multilateral alternative in
this case. There was no alternative except not going to war.
In terms of Cancún,
how deep is the US commitment to these goals. It is easy to sign on. The
attitudes to development are very divided. The separation of powers leads
to big problems. There is a constant want to negate the works of previous
administrations. A new Congress means they want to do new things. It makes
it hard to get things done.
Q5: This is a two
part question:
1. The Council on Foreign Relations said that the UN needed to build a
bigger consensus among major players and compared it to the WTO. What
do you think of this?
2. Does the US use its supremacy wisely? Will the US sign the ICC or Kyoto?
A5:
The WTO was backed by the Republicans. On issues like trade the US and
the European Union are able to battle it out through international organizations.
However, security issues are different and you cannot have that at the
UN. The imbalance incapacitates the UN. During the post-Cold War, there
has been decreased defense spending by all countries but the gaps remain
huge. In terms of Kyoto and the ICC, the US won’t sign either. Kyoto
is an ongoing process but the document is flawed. The world is not ready
for the ICC. Regional courts like Rwanda and Yugoslavia can work. The
political groundwork for the ICC has not been laid out in the US. NGOs
did not work with the US from the beginning because it was too difficult.
They thought they could come back later and convince the US but it was
too late. It plays into the conspiracy theory of everyone being against
the US.
Q6: What are the chances
of Bush’s re-election?
A6:
It is too early to tell. Bush is beatable if the Democrats are unified
and have a strong candidate. If the economy is weak, Bush will struggle.
However, the economy shows signs of rebounding. Approval ratings are high
but not that high. Rebuilding Iraq is what people should be supporting:
making it work does not support the war but the establishment of stability
in the region.
Q7: How influential
is the media’s role in forming American opinion?
A7:
Americans are ignorant of foreign affairs. The US is learning more but
international institutions do not come up much. Media does not lead public
opinion but it gives the public what they want which is entertainment.
The media reflects the US public.
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