
| A Paper submitted by Andy Rachmianto Kyoto, Japan 17 – 19 August 2005
The goal of nuclear disarmament has long eluded the international community. The expectation of progress towards that goal has not been fulfilled. There is a widely shared perception of concerted efforts by the nuclear-weapon-states to diminish the significance of the legal obligation contained in Article VI of the NPT which came into force in 1970 and the political agreements reached in 1995 and 2000 Review Conferences. At the 2005 NPT Review Conference, the objective of nuclear disarmament was repudiated or contentions that it has become irrelevant. In fact, one of the nuclear-weapon-states has clearly mentioned that “nuclear disarmament was no longer exists” and asserted that the 13 practical steps of the 2000 Final Document has become a “historical document”. PRINCIPLES, OBJECTIVES AND OBLIGATIONS ON NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT The 1995 NPT Review and Extension Conference adopted the “Principles and Objectives for Non-Proliferation and Disarmament”. It contained provisions for “the determined pursuit by the nuclear-weapon-states of systematic and progressive efforts to reduce nuclear weapons globally with the ultimate goal(s) of eliminating these weapons”. On 8 July 1996, the International Court of Justice (ICJ) issued an advisory opinion on “the Legality of the Threat of Use of Nuclear Weapons”, which among others, stated that there exists an obligation to pursue in good faith and bring to a conclusion negotiations leading to nuclear disarmament in all its aspects under strict and effective international control. More significantly, the 2000 NPT Review Conference adopted a Final Document contained a specific political commitment of an unequivocal undertaking by the nuclear-weapon-states to accomplish the total elimination of their arsenals leading to nuclear disarmament. It was reinforced by the inclusion of 13 practical steps which constitute a road map to implement Article VI of the NPT and the consensus agreement of 1995 Review and Extension Conference. The NPT has enjoined non-nuclear-weapon-states to refrain from the acquisition of nuclear weapons. The proliferation of nuclear weapons has been effectively contained as nearly all non-nuclear-weapon states have fulfilled their commitments by renouncing the nuclear option. Hence, adhering to both ends of the central bargain under the NPT, namely, non-proliferation and nuclear disarmament, is critical for the survival of the NPT. And it would be unfair and untenable to demand the non-nuclear-weapon-states to comply with their obligations, while the nuclear-weapon-states have failed to live up to their obligations and commitments. While non-proliferation objectives are backed by stringent enforcement and verification measures, so should the Treaty’s disarmament commitments. A failure to deal with this issue through the creation of extra NPT mechanisms runs the risk of NPT becoming irrelevant and ultimately leading to its demise. Thirty five years after the NPT came into force and fifteen years after the end of the Cold War, the non-nuclear-weapon-states generally share the view that the nuclear-weapon-states do not intend to fulfill their obligations, and indeed, are intent upon retaining their arsenals indefinitely or even developing new type of nuclear weapons, such as nuclear robust earth penetrator (NREP) or the so-called “mini-nukes”. PRELIMINARY STEPS TO BE UNDERTAKEN According to a study by the Center for Non-Proliferation Studies, Monterey Institute for International Studies on the review of the implementation of obligations, undertakings and commitments of the 1995 and the 2000 Review Conferences, it was concluded that the international community has done more to implement the provisions of nuclear non-proliferation rather than to nuclear disarmament. The followings are some positive developments with regard to the implementation of non-proliferation provisions:
Meanwhile, some negative developments
relates to nuclear disarmament that would substantiate such an argument
are among others:
These negative developments have led to the inevitable conclusion by many policy-makers and analysts of a broken promises relating to the reduction and elimination of nuclear armaments. Hence, the focus of attention of the 2005 NPT Review Conference was the issue of nuclear disarmament due to asymmetric compliance with that Treaty’s obligations by the nuclear-weapon-states.
Based on the aforementioned, it is
possible to argue that these are realistic and achievable steps whose
implementation will render nuclear weapons programs and strategic rivalries
obsolete, bolster the non-proliferation regime, pave the way for nuclear
disarmament and ensure a stable international security environment.
NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AT THE 2005 REVIEW CONFERENCE The gap between the positions of the have and have-not had begun prior to the 2005 Review Conference (Revcon). When the Third Prepcom was held in 2004, the nuclear-weapon-states claimed that NPT priorities should be directed to stopping the proliferation of nuclear weapons. While the problem of their own compliance with Article VI, as stated by one delegation, was no longer exist. The Chairman of the Prepcom, Ambassador
Sudjadnan Parnohadiningrat, tried to have its Summary annexed to the
Report of the Prepcom and to provide a simple paragraph which would
at least become an agenda for the 2005 Revcon, but one delegation even
refused this last resort. This has finally created problems to the President
of the Conference, Ambassador Sergio Duarte. Despite his tireless efforts
by visiting all the major capitals and participating in a number of
workshops to secure agreement on an agenda for the 2005 Revcon, the
Conference was opened without having an agenda.
The 2005 NPT Revcon was ended in disarray
because it failed to agree on any substantive item and showed the deep
fracture in the international community on nuclear weapons. For the
first time in history, the Revcon bogged down from the start in wrangling
over the agenda and the programme of work among its Committees.
There are several reasons why the Conference
failed, but the major cause was the unbalanced emphasis on non-proliferation
of nuclear weapon to the total exclusion of nuclear disarmament. While
some others said that rather than the failure of the NPT itself, the
failure of the Conference was due to the efforts of a few states, which
incorrectly believed a failed Conference to be in their best interests.
NUCLEAR DISARMAMENT AND THE
DISARMAMENT MACHINERY
As noted above, the commitments undertaken in the NPT have not been fully implemented, the CTBT has not entered into force and negotiations for a fissile materials cut-off treaty have not been resumed. Underlying the crisis relating to nuclear disarmament was the paralysis in multilateral disarmament machinery that was consciously built for almost three decades. This has been reflected by the deadlock in the Conference on Disarmament (CD), divisiveness in the First Committee and criticism of the United Nations Disarmament Commission (UNDC). Such marginalization has setback the efforts by an overwhelming majority of non-nuclear-weapon-states to achieve general and complete disarmament under strict and effective international control. In a statement to introduce his Report
“In Larger Freedom”, the UN Secretary-General has stated
“that the disarmament machinery in danger of erosion, therefore,
they must be revitalized to ensure continued progress on disarmament
and to address the growing risk of a cascade of proliferation, especially
in the nuclear field”.
For the last few years, the debate
in the field of disarmament focused on process rather than substance
and many so-called decisions simply reflect the lowest common denominator
of widely different opinions. For example, the CD has not been able
to agree on programmed of work. The UNDC did not have substantive session
this year and in 2004, because the Commission can not reach agreement
on the agenda items. And the latest one was the 2005 NPT Revcon which
failed because it wiggled with the issues of agenda and the programme
of work during most of the time allocated to its substantive sessions.
The crux of the problems facing the international disarmament machinery rests entirely with the capitals, which have yet to exert the necessary political will to implements agreements already reached or take steps to reach new agreements to provide security for the people of the world. Therefore, multilateralism should become the basis for this dialogue between nuclear and non-nuclear-weapon-states. With so much of our disarmament machinery deadlocked to the point of paralysis, an increasing number of States, particularly from the NAM, are considering the notion of returning to the Special Session of the General Assembly devoted to Disarmament (SSOD). The only consensus document that we
have is the Final Document adopted by SSOD-I in 1978, which inter-alia,
has clearly stated that “nuclear disarmament and the elimination
of other weapons of mass destruction remains the highest priority and
the principal task of our time”. Since that time, a number of
international conferences on issues of global concern and interest,
such as children, women and HIV/AIDS, have been held and took decisions
which paved the way for multilateral solutions. However, disarmament
is yet to find its place in this on-going process.
For quite sometime now, UN member
states have adopted without a vote in the General Assembly a resolution
for the convening of SSOD IV as the only viable alternative to our collective
efforts. It offers invaluable opportunities for multilateral negotiations
on arms control, disarmament and non-proliferation. Through SSOD-IV,
we could address not only the whole agenda of disarmament, but also
dealing comprehensively with the real reform of the disarmament machinery
(CD, UNDC, First Committee) and to avoid a piecemeal approach on this
matter.
Although no consensus was reached
at the last substantive session of Open-ended Working Group on SSOD-IV
in 2003, as mandated by resolution 59/71 in 2004, the Working Group
will resume its session in 2006 to consider “the objective and
agenda”, including the possible establishment of the preparatory
committee, for the SSOD-IV.
CONCLUSION
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